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The NHL’s offseason chaos index: Who could shake up the league?

April 15, 2026
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The NHL’s offseason chaos index: Who could shake up the league?
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The NHL offseason hardly ever lives as much as the hype, however yearly brings a minimum of one agent of chaos to get issues shifting.

Listed below are the almost certainly candidates.

The long-shot participant

15. Connor McDavid, C, Edmonton Oilers

There is a non-zero likelihood that McDavid and the group are able to make main modifications. McDavid’s two-year extension, signed earlier than the season, nonetheless appears like a warning to Edmonton’s entrance workplace — work out the goaltending or put together for the worst. Edmonton traded for Tristan Jarry midseason, a call that appears nightmarish after an .857 save proportion by way of 19 appearances. McDavid has a full no-movement clause.

A choice by McDavid to ask out of Edmonton would stun the NHL. 

The GM wild playing cards

14. Chris MacFarland, Colorado Avalanche GM13. Invoice Guerin, Minnesota Wild GM12. Alex Steen, St. Louis Blues GM

Steen is the largest wild card of all of them as a result of he is simply coming into the function after serving as GM-in-waiting. A number of groups had been rumored to have curiosity in Blues forwards Robert Thomas and Jordan Kyrou earlier than the commerce deadline. It is unclear if Steen is planning on doing critical surgical procedure to the roster after a large step again this season.

In the meantime, MacFarland is a close to lock to spur motion as a result of Colorado has restricted cap house and should seemingly shed items from the roster. 

It is well-known that Guerin is looking for a middle, however the Minnesota Wild’s asset pool took a serious hit once they traded for defenseman Quinn Hughes. 

Groups within the wilderness

10. Winnipeg Jets9. New Jersey Devils8. Vegas Golden Knights

The Jets have a largely veteran roster primed to win now, which makes this huge step again after final season’s Presidents’ Trophy so disappointing. At this level, it is not clear what the group is considering after being eradicated from the playoff race. 

The Jets’ precarious monetary scenario makes the thought of a rebuild unlikely, however it additionally means Winnipeg should discover a strategy to deepen a roster that acquired greater than 50 % of its targets from 4 gamers.

The Devils haven’t any GM at the moment and should not have a coach quickly. It is a huge setback for a group that has failed the expectations recreation three years working — squeaking into the playoffs as soon as and profitable solely a single recreation in that span.

The Knights are at all times within the thick of every little thing. That is made all of the extra fascinating due to their historical past of aggression. However its disappointing common season and lack of cap house (h/t: PuckPedia) hurts. 

The heavy hitters

7. Jarmo Kekalainen, Buffalo Sabres GM6. Kyle Dubas, Pittsburgh Penguins GM5. Jim Nill, Dallas Stars GM4. Chris Drury, New York Rangers GM

There might not be a bunch of 4 executives with an even bigger affect on the place this offseason is headed. Kekalainen has but to return to phrases with star winger Alex Tuch, who has the potential to be the far-and-away greatest unrestricted free agent available on the market. To signal Tuch, Kekalainen most likely should open cap house elsewhere.

In the meantime, Dubas has loads of cap house, a contract to finalize with future Corridor of Famer Evgeni Malkin and the imaginative and prescient to make use of the cap house with out harming the group’s long-term prospects.

Nill is in exactly the alternative situation. He has a serious contract negotiation with star winger Jason Robertson, however he virtually definitely will not proceed until he sells invaluable items off the roster. 

Drury walks into the offseason with about $27M in cap house, in keeping with PuckPedia. He may open much more if he follows by way of on the Vincent Trocheck commerce rumors ($5.625 million per season). Plus, he is coping with an impatient proprietor (James Dolan) and a win-now coach (Mike Sullivan) who left Pittsburgh to keep away from the dreaded “rebuild.”

A tier of his personal

3. Brady Tkachuk, winger, Ottawa Senators 

Tkachuk’s well being points apart, it is a important second for the captain. Ottawa, which rallied to make the playoffs, hasn’t gained a playoff collection within the Tkachuk period, and that is not a lock to alter. In the meantime, Tkachuk is 2 years from unrestricted free company and sure due a major elevate. 

There’s a number of noise across the American-born Tkachuk, a gold-medal Olympian with an outspoken father. His brother Matthew pressured his manner out of Calgary to play for the Florida Panthers. Ottawa could be higher off getting in entrance of this fairly than ready till Tkachuk is in his remaining season. 

However how does this affect the Leafs?

2. Toronto Maple Leafs

There isn’t a group within the NHL that could be a larger wild card this offseason. They’ve already fired common supervisor Brad Treliving and appear extraordinarily more likely to can coach Craig Berube. The selections made on who the Leafs rent within the entrance workplace and on the bench will seemingly have an infinite affect on the way forward for heart Auston Matthews.

In a season filled with dangerous vibes, the group captain took a knee-on-knee hit from defenseman Radko Gudas that ended his season prematurely. Nobody on the Leafs stood up for Matthews within the second, resulting in near-fever pitch dialogue in Canada over the outcomes of the hit. 

Chris Johnston of The Athletic reported that “powerful choices are looming” within the wake of this disastrous season. The Leafs are with out their first-round decide, until they wind up selecting within the high 5. In the event that they decide within the high 5 and select to maintain the decide, their subsequent two first-round picks might be unprotected and go to division rival Boston (2027) and convention foe Philadelphia (2028). 

They’re probably the most invaluable franchise within the NHL. But there’s virtually no readability on what’s subsequent in Toronto. 

And the winner is…

1. The lottery balls

When the NHL attracts lottery numbers in Could, the affect will reverberate throughout a lot of the league.

Groups like Toronto and New York are on the lookout for fast turnarounds, that means a lottery win would seemingly grant them an elite prospect to hitch the roster as quickly as the beginning of the 2026-27 season. That sort of fine fortune may probably assist these organizations keep away from awkward conversations with star gamers who’re on the lookout for a path towards a Stanley Cup. 

A failure to win by these groups would seemingly make them much more motivated to get aggressive in free company or the commerce market. In the meantime, Toronto and Florida aren’t assured first-round picks, however lottery wins may finally decide whether or not both one or neither group picks within the early levels of spherical one because of a wide range of commerce protections tied to trades executed greater than a yr prior. 

The lottery drawing normally carries loads of intrigue, however in an period the place virtually no one has dedicated to the idea of a standard rebuild, it is extra intriguing than ever. 



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Tags: ChaosindexLeagueNHLsoffseasonShake
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