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Brexit has made UK economy and productivity ‘weaker’ than thought, says Reeves

October 21, 2025
in Business
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Brexit has made UK economy and productivity ‘weaker’ than thought, says Reeves
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Signal as much as our free Brexit publication for our evaluation of the persevering with impression of Brexit on the UK

Signal as much as our free publication for the most recent evaluation on Brexit’s impression

Signal as much as our free publication for the most recent evaluation on Brexit’s impression

Brexit and beyond

Rachel Reeves has mentioned Brexit made the UK’s economic system and productiveness “weaker” than initially forecast when the UK voted to go away the European Union.

However the Chancellor expressed dedication that “the previous doesn’t outline our future” as she set out plans to scrap paperwork and pink tape for hundreds of UK companies in a bid to spice up lacklustre financial development on the Regional Funding Summit in Birmingham on Tuesday.

The gathering of enterprise leaders and buyers got here after extra gloomy information for the Chancellor as Authorities borrowing in September hit the very best stage for the month in 5 years.

The information from the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics piles extra strain on Ms Reeves forward of the November 26 Price range, through which she should fill a black gap estimated at round £50 billion by some economists.

Ms Reeves mentioned the autumn assertion will element her “plans primarily based on the world as it’s, not essentially the world as I would prefer it to be” as world volatility and a hike in defence spending “places strain on our economic system”.

She mentioned exiting the EU had brought on extra harm than forecasters had anticipated on the time, with the anticipated downgrade of the funds watchdog’s earlier assumptions prone to make her job of balancing the books even tougher.

The Chancellor instructed reporters: “The Workplace for Price range Duty do the forecasts for the economic system. Once we left the European Union, or once we voted to go away, they made an estimate in regards to the impression that may have.

“What they’ve carried out this summer season is return to all of their forecasts and take a look at what really occurred in comparison with what they forecast.

“What that exhibits – and what they may set out – is that the economic system has been weaker and productiveness has been weaker than they forecast, even if they forecast that the economic system can be weaker due to leaving the EU…

“I’m decided that the previous doesn’t outline our future and that we do obtain that financial development and productiveness with good jobs in all elements of the nation.”

Ms Reeves highlighted greater than £10 billion in funding commitments secured on the summit, in addition to deregulation and reform to planning and capital markets.

The OBR’s evaluation shall be printed intimately alongside the Price range, through which the Chancellor has already acknowledged she is potential tax rises and spending cuts.

The Nationwide Institute of Financial and Social Analysis has advised Ms Reeves might want to discover round £50 billion a 12 months by 2029-39 to fulfill her aim of balancing day-to-day spending with tax revenues whereas sustaining “headroom” of round £10 billion in opposition to that focus on.

Requested about her promise to not ship one other tax-raising assertion, Ms Reeves mentioned: “This 12 months has been significantly risky when it comes to world occasions, from Ukraine to the Center East, to the upper commerce tariffs that nations all over the world together with the UK face. We’re not proof against that, even if we’re doing commerce offers with the EU, India and with the US.

“After all, that places strain on our economic system, as does the elevated defence spending to maintain us secure in an unsure world.

“I’ll set out all my plans primarily based on the world as it’s, not essentially the world as I would prefer it to be, within the Price range on November 26.”

Addressing enterprise leaders at Edgbaston Stadium earlier, the Chancellor detailed measures to reform the corporate merger course of, rules for drones and reforms for synthetic intelligence (AI).

She mentioned a cross-economy AI “sandbox” would permit corporations to develop new merchandise “below supervision by regulators”.

This could velocity up the approval of AI to be used in areas together with “authorized companies, planning assessments and superior manufacturing”.

The Civil Aviation Authority will set out steps in the direction of launching business drone operations which might permit unmanned aerial automobiles to be broadly used for duties from “surveying websites for improvement to delivering blood provides for the NHS”.

Panels reviewing firm mergers shall be reformed to “present better certainty on whether or not transactions shall be topic to merger management”.

She additionally confirmed plans to create less complicated company reporting guidelines for greater than 100,000 companies, together with eradicating the necessity for small enterprise homeowners to submit prolonged director stories to Firms Home.

Tory shadow enterprise secretary Andrew Griffith mentioned it was “laughable to listen to Labour speak about scrapping pink tape after they have created numerous new quangos” and piled “burdens and prices on employers’ shoulders” via enterprise tax hikes.



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Tags: BrexiteconomyProductivityReevesThoughtWeaker
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