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Commentary: Payback? Power grab? Proposition 50 is California’s political ink-blot test

November 2, 2025
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Commentary: Payback? Power grab? Proposition 50 is California’s political ink-blot test
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In relation to Proposition 50, Marcia Owens is a bit fuzzy on the small print.

She is aware of, vaguely, it has one thing to do with how California attracts the boundaries for its 52 congressional districts, a convoluted and arcane course of that’s not precisely prime of the thoughts in your common particular person. However Owens is abundantly clear in terms of her intent in Tuesday’s particular election.

“I’m voting to take energy out of Trump’s palms and put it again within the palms of the individuals,” stated Owens, 48, a vocational nurse in Riverside. “He’s making loads of illogical choices which are actually wreaking havoc on our nation. He’s not placing our pursuits first, ensuring that a person has meals on the desk, they will pay their hire, pay electrical payments, pay for healthcare.”

Peter Arensburger, a fellow Democrat who additionally lives in Riverside, was blunter nonetheless.

President Trump, stated the 55-year-old faculty professor, “is attempting to rule as a dictator” and Republicans are doing completely nothing to cease him.

So, Arensburger stated, California voters will do it for them.

Or no less than attempt.

“It’s a false equivalency,” he stated, “to say that we have to do every part on an excellent keel in California, however Texas” — which redrew its political map to spice up Republicans — “can do no matter they need.”

Proposition 50, which goals to ship Democrats no less than 5 extra Home seats within the 2026 midterm election, is both righteous payback or a grubby energy seize.

A reasoned try and even issues out in response to Texas’ try and nab 5 extra congressional seats. Or a ruthless gambit to drive the California GOP to near-extinction.

All of it depends upon your perspective.

Above all, Proposition 50 has develop into a political ink-blot take a look at; what many California voters see depends upon, politically, the place they stand.

Mary Ann Rounsavall thinks the measure is “horrible,” as a result of that’s how the Fontana retiree feels about its chief proponent, Gavin Newsom.

“He’s a jerk,” the 75-year-old Republican pretty spat, as if the act of forming the governor’s identify left a foul style in her mouth. “Nobody believes something he says.”

Timothy, a fellow Republican who withheld his final identify to keep away from on-line trolls, echoed the sentiment.

“It’s simply Gavin Newsom taking part in political video games,” stated the 39-year-old warehouse supervisor, who commutes from West Covina to his job at a plumbing provider in Ontario. “They at all times discuss Trump. ‘Trump, Trump, Trump.’ Get off of Trump. I’ve been listening to this crap ever since he began working.”

Riverside and San Bernardino counties kind the guts of the Inland Empire, east of Los Angeles. The subsequent-door neighbors are politically purple: extra Republican than the state as a complete, however not as conservative as California’s extra rural reaches. Meaning neither occasion has an higher hand, a parity mirrored in dozens of interviews with voters throughout the sprawling area.

On a latest smoggy morning, the hulking San Bernardino Mountains veiled by a gray-brown haze, Eric Lawson paused to supply his ideas.

The 66-year-old unbiased has no use for politicians of any stripe. “They’re all crooks,” he stated. “All of them.”

Lawson referred to as Proposition 50 a waste of money and time.

Gerrymandering — the darkish artwork of drawing political traces to profit one occasion over one other — is, as he identified, hardly new. (In truth, the time period is rooted within the identify of Elbridge Gerry, one of many nation’s founders.)

What has Lawson notably steamed is the price of “this silly election,” which is pushing $300 million.

“We speak and speak and speak and we print cash for all this speak,” stated Lawson, who lives in Ontario and consults within the auto trade. “However that cash doesn’t go the place it’s presupposed to go.”

Though sentiments have been evenly cut up in these a number of dozen conversations, all indications counsel that Proposition 50 is headed towards passage Tuesday, probably by a large margin. After elevating a tidal wave of money, Newsom final week instructed small donors that’s sufficient, thanks. The opposition has all however given up and resigned itself to defeat.

It comes all the way down to math. Proposition 50 has develop into a take a look at of occasion muscle and a talisman of partisan religion and California has much more Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents than Republicans and GOP-leaning independents.

Andrea Fisher, who opposes the initiative, is properly conscious of that truth. “I’m a conservative,” she stated, “in a state that’s not very conservative.”

She has come to just accept that actuality, however fears issues will worsen if Democrats have their means and slash California’s already-scanty Republican ranks on Capitol Hill. Amongst these focused for ouster is Ken Calvert, a 16-term GOP incumbent who represents a superb slice of Riverside County.

“I really feel prefer it’s going to remove my voice,” stated Fisher, 48, a meals server at her daughter’s college in Riverside. “If I’m 40% of the vote” — roughly the proportion Trump obtained statewide in 2024 — “then we in that inhabitants ought to have honest illustration. We’re nonetheless their constituents.” (In Riverside County, Trump edged Kamala Harris 49% to 48%.)

Amber Pelland says Proposition 50 will damage voters by placing redistricting again into the palms of politicians.

(Allen J. Schaben/Los Angeles Occasions)

Amber Pelland, 46, who works within the nonprofit discipline in Corona, feels by “sticking it to Trump” — a tagline in one of many TV adverts supporting Proposition 50 — voters will likely be sticking it to themselves. Passage would erase the political map drawn by an unbiased fee, which voters empowered in 2010 for the specific objective of wrestling redistricting away from self-dealing lawmakers in Washington and Sacramento.

“I don’t care if you happen to hate the particular person or don’t hate the particular person,” stated Pelland, a Republican who backs the president. “It’s simply going to harm voters by taking the ability away from the individuals.”

Even some backers of Proposition 50 flinched on the notion of sidelining the redistricting fee and undoing its painstaking, nonpartisan work. What helps make it palatable, they stated, is the requirement — written into the poll measure — that congressional redistricting will revert to the fee after the 2030 census, when California’s subsequent set of congressional maps is because of be drafted.

“I’m glad that it’s non permanent as a result of I don’t assume redistricting needs to be accomplished in an effort to give one political occasion larger energy over one other,” stated Carole, a Riverside Democrat. “I feel it’s one thing that needs to be determined over a protracted interval and never in a rush.” (She additionally withheld her final identify so her husband, who serves locally, wouldn’t be hassled for her opinion.)

Texas, Carole instructed, has pressured California to behave due to its excessive motion, redistricting at mid-decade at Trump’s command. “It’s vital to consider the nation as a complete,” stated the 51-year-old educational researcher, “and to answer what’s being accomplished, particularly with the stress coming from the White Home.”

Felise Self-Visnic, a 71-year-old retired schoolteacher, agreed.

She was procuring at a Dealer Joe’s in Riverside in an orange ball cap that learn “Human-Type (Be Each).” Again residence, in her garage-door window, is a poster that reads “No Kings.”

She described Proposition 50 as a stopgap measure that can return energy to the fee as soon as the urgency of at this time’s political upheaval has handed. However even when that wasn’t the case, the Democrat stated, she would nonetheless vote in favor.

“Something,” Self-Visnic stated, “to combat fascism, which is the place we’re heading.”



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Tags: average personCaliforniaCaliforniasCommentaryeric lawsonGrabHandindependent commissioninkblotMoneynamePartyPaybackPoliticalpolitical ink-blot testpowerpropositionRepublicansriversidetestTexasTrumpvoter
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